DEFCON 3 - ELEVATED THREAT
Taiwan Strait Tension Index: 8.2/10
CLASSIFIED - EYES ONLY - 2025.08.26 14:23:07 UTC
Military Action Probability
72%
Next 6 months - Taiwan Scenario
6 Months
1 Year
2 Years
3 Years
5 Years
PLA Readiness: 87%
US Response: ELEVATED
Supply Chain Vulnerability Matrix
Semiconductors
CRITICAL
CRITICAL
Rare Earths
HIGH
HIGH
Electronics
HIGH
HIGH
AI Chips
CRITICAL
CRITICAL
Batteries
HIGH
HIGH
Auto Parts
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
5G Equipment
CRITICAL
CRITICAL
Solar Panels
HIGH
HIGH
Steel
MEDIUM
MEDIUM
⚠️ COGNITIVE ALERT: Availability bias detected - Recent semiconductor news may be inflating risk perception
Economic Decoupling Impact
$2.4T
Estimated global GDP impact
US-China Trade Volume
-34% YoY
Tech Transfer Restrictions
87 companies
Alternative Sourcing Cost
+15-40%
Diversification Progress
43% complete
Financial Market Impact
-12% correlation
PLA Naval Expansion & Indo-Pacific Positioning
PLA Navy (2020-2030)
335
370
410
435
↗ +30%
US Navy (2020-2030)
293
295
289
287
↘ -2%
2020
335
293
2023
362
299
2025
380
291
2030E
435
287
Current Fleet: 380 vessels
Projected 2030: 435 vessels
Taiwan Strait: 67%
Regional Military Positioning
94%
Force Deployment Readiness
South China Sea Presence
87% coverage
Missile Defense Systems
156 sites
Air Defense Networks
78% integrated
Forward Operating Bases
23 active
Immediate Crisis Protocols
Taiwan Blockade
Trade War
Cyber Attack
Activate supply chain redundancies
Contact alternative suppliers
Secure critical inventory
Implement communication protocols
Live Intelligence Feed
14:18 - PLA Navy conducts unscheduled exercises 180nm from Taiwan
14:12 - Satellite imagery shows increased activity at Fujian ports
14:07 - SIGINT confirms encrypted communications spike
13:52 - Commercial vessel redirections noted in Taiwan Strait
13:45 - Russian-Chinese joint patrol aircraft detected
13:31 - Hypersonic weapon system deployment confirmed
13:18 - Beijing diplomatic channels showing unusual activity
Satellite Intelligence Overview
47
Active monitoring zones - Q3 2025
Naval Base Activity (Last 30 days)
+23% increase
Airfield Preparations (Current)
12 sites active
Supply Depot Buildup (YTD)
+45% capacity
Communication Arrays (Real-time)
89% operational
Global Military Risk Heat Map
Risk Levels
CRITICAL 9-10
HIGH 7-8
ELEVATED 5-6
MODERATE 3-4
LOW 1-2
Intelligence Assessment
Click any country tile above for detailed risk analysis and current intelligence briefing
Technology Disruption & Transfer Risk Assessment
AI & Quantum
Chinese AI Advancement
83% of US capability
Quantum Computing
Parity by 2027
Tech Transfer Violations
+156% YoY
Semiconductor Dependency
TSMC Exposure
92% of advanced chips
Alternative Capacity
18 months to scale
Strategic Reserves
6.2 months supply
Diversification Progress
India Manufacturing
+47% capacity
Vietnam Tech Hub
+23% investment
Mexico Nearshoring
+31% growth